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Embraer Forecasts Demand for 8,500 New Jets Through 2045

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August 5, 2026

Global – Aircraft manufacturer Embraer forecasts demand for 8,500 new commercial jets with up to 150 seats, valued at USD650 billion, between 2026 and 2045.

  • Embraer’s regional delivery forecast comprises:
    • North America: 2,670 aircraft, or 31%.
    • Europe/CIS: 1,870 aircraft, or 22%.
    • China: 1,470 aircraft, or 17%.
    • Asia-Pacific: 1,050 aircraft, or 13%.
    • Latin America and the Caribbean: 740 aircraft, or 9%.
    • Africa: 370 aircraft, or 4%.
    • Middle East: 330 aircraft, or 4%.
    • Global total: 8,500 aircraft.
  • Global passenger traffic, measured in revenue passenger kilometres, is forecast to grow by an average of 3.7% annually through 2045.
  • Forecast annual traffic growth by region is:
    • China: 5.2%.
    • Middle East: 4.6%.
    • Africa: 4.4%.
    • Latin America and the Caribbean: 4.3%.
    • Asia-Pacific: 4.1%.
    • Europe: 2.7%.
    • North America: 2.0%.
  • Asia-Pacific and China are expected to generate 40% of global passenger traffic by 2045, while Europe and North America will account for a combined 37%.
  • Market Outlook 2026 also examines the standard-body freighter segment for aircraft below 40 tonnes, although the announcement did not publish a separate cargo-aircraft delivery forecast. 

Statements

  • “The expansion of advanced manufacturing clusters and regional value chains is generating sustained demand for efficient, high-frequency links between emerging economic centres,” said Arjan Meijer, President and CEO of Commercial Aviation at Embraer. 

Source: Embraer

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