Market Intelligence: North America
US Flight Training Group Welcomes First Student Pilot Class to New (Third) Base in July 2024
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Aircraft Manufacturer Embraer Publishes 20-Year Market Outlook in July 2024
- Worldwide demand for 10,500 sub-150-seat jets and turboprops
- Value of new orders USD 640 billion
- North America, followed by Asia Pacific and Europe will lead jet deliveries
Embraer has published Market Outlook 2024, its 20-year forecast for commercial aircraft deliveries in the sub-150-seat category. The report was presented at a press briefing during the Farnborough International Airshow 2024.
Market Outlook 2024 estimates 10,500 orders for new jets and turboprops through 2043. It also presents analyses of global influences and trends in six world regions that impact the demand for new aircraft.
The relevance of the small narrowbody category is increasing. Larger aircraft are not always economically or operationally optimal for medium and lower-density markets, particularly when multiple daily frequencies are essential for those cities to stay well-connected. Fleets with these aircraft benefit when complemented by smaller narrowbodies in the sub-150-seat segment. Small narrowbodies go where bigger jets cannot, do so more frequently, and usually more profitably. As the average aircraft size in key world regions increases, a reflection of the strong orderbook for 200-seat narrowbodies, it becomes clear that a mixed fleet of small and large narrowbodies is the best way to serve the diverse characteristics of an airline network.
Arjan Meijer, Embraer’s President & CEO of Commercial Aviation, said, “A mix fleet of sub-150-seat jets and larger narrowbodies will be the successful fleet strategy for the next 20 years. The post-pandemic environment is different in so many ways. The business/leisure passenger mix is different. Demand patterns are different. The corporate workplace is different. And e-commerce is booming. Carriers are adding capacity in big markets, yet smaller cities still need to stay well-connected to airline networks with high frequency air service. We believe aircraft in the sub-150-seat category are the most efficient and cost-effective to address that need.”
The Market Outlook also contains analysis of the cargo aircraft market and cites new opportunities for small-narrowbody freighters resulting from the projected growth in online commerce.
Highlights of the 20-Year Commercial Market Outlook – By the Numbers
World passenger traffic, measured in revenue passenger kilometers, has returned to 2019 levels except for the Asia Pacific/China region. RPKs are forecast to grow 4% annually through 2043.
Annual RPK regional growth rate – ranked
5.0% Asia Pacific (includes China)
4.9% Latin America
4.4% Africa
4.4% Middle East
3.3% Europe
2.4% North America
RPK share by the end of 2043
38% Asia Pacific
38% Europe + North America
Global demand for new aircraft up to 150 seats
10,500 units
8,470 jets
2,030 turboprops
Market value of all new aircraft
USD 640 billion
Jet deliveries – 8,470 (% share) – by region
2,610 North America (30.8%)
2,260 China & Asia Pacific (26.7%)
2,110 Europe & CIS (24.9%)
770 Latin America (9.1%)
380 Africa (4.5%)
340 Middle East (4.0%)
Turboprop deliveries – 2,030 (% share) – by region
980 China & Asia Pacific (48.3%)
350 North America (17.2%)
290 Europe & CIS (14.3%)
220 Africa (10.8%)
160 Latin America (7.9%)
30 Middle East (1.5%)
Source: Embraer
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Training Aircraft Manufacturer Elixir Aircraft On Track To Deliver One Aircraft Per Week By End of 2024
Elixir Aircraft, a France headquartered manufacturer of training aircraft, is exhibiting for the 3rd time at EAA AirVenture, the world’s largest fly-in, in Oshkosh (Wisconsin, USA), from July 22 to 28, 2024. On this occasion, Elixir Aircraft announced that it has delivered more than 25 aircraft, the serial number 26 being delivered to the aircraft rental company Locavion (France). With the objective to deliver one aircraft per week by the end of the year, Elixir Aircraft continues the ramp up of production in order to meet demand, which consist of over 200 orders and pre-orders.
At the same time, the Sarasota plant in Florida, designed for the re-assembly of American aircraft, is scheduled to open during 2025.
Elixir Aircraft is present at AirVenture with two 100 and 140 hp aircraft from its Elixir range. A large part of the sales and customer support team made the trip to meet North American customers. Set up in the heart of the area dedicated to certified manufacturers, close to the main entrance, Elixir Aircraft displays its ambitions for the American market.
As schools around the world renew their fleets, the 4th generation Elixir aircraft has already won over some twenty European customers, including the Airbus Flight Academy school, which operates several examples.
To keep pace with its accelerating production, Elixir Aircraft is expanding its 3 French sites in La Rochelle. A 15,000 m2 facility will be built there in 2026.
At the same time, Elixir Aircraft is preparing to open its American facility in 2025. Located at the Sarasota Bradenton airport in Florida, it will be mainly devoted to the initial reassembly of aircraft delivered to American customers. Over 200 Elixir aircraft have been ordered (firm orders and pre-orders) by the American market. Around 200 people will be employed in Sarasota, bringing the company’s total workforce to 400.
About Elixir Aircraft
Elixir Aircraft is a French aircraft manufacturer founded in 2015 to meet the challenges of global light aviation. Based in La Rochelle, it has over 150 employees and is recruiting massively. Elixir Aircraft designed and has been building a 4th-generation two-seater aircraft, certified EASA CS-23 since 2020. Elixir Aircraft uses technology from the world of competitive sailing, the “Carbon Oneshot” (in one piece), to simplify structures. More simplicity means fewer failures, so greater safety, but also less maintenance, and lower costs (estimates of savings of $50/h fuel and maintenance). At the end of 2021, Elixir Aircraft opened a new production site in Périgny, Charente Maritime, to bring production of all carbon parts in-house.
There are 25 Elixir aircraft currently in operation, with over 200 of the 4th-generation Elixir aircraft on the order book (firm or pre-orders). In June 2023, the French President announced a 13-million euro subsidy for Elixir Aircraft. In early 2024, Elixir Aircraft announced the closing of its development financing for the next 5 years, with a budget of 40 million euros. Elixir Aircraft is preparing to open a new 15,000 m2 facility in La Rochelle and another in Sarasota, Florida.
Source: Elixir Aircraft
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Flight Simulation Solution Provider True Course Simulations Launches Mixed Reality Flight Simulator at EAA Airventure 2024
United States based flight training simulation solution provider True Course Simulations has shared it has launched the world’s first commercially available civilian mixed reality flight simulator.
“Mixed reality allows the pilot to see their own hands, the controls, and avionics using pass through portals in the MR headset. Outside of the cockpit, the pilot sees the virtual world. Fly fully immersed, anywhere you want, in any conditions, while still seeing your hands and the tactile parts of the physical cockpit.” shared True Course Simulations.
Source: True Course Simulations
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Flight School Resource and Training Timeline Forecasting Tool, Aeroplanned, Announces New Flight School Partner – Kilo Charlie Aviation
Aeroplanned, the pioneering resource planning platform for flight training, has announced a new partnership with Kilo Charlie Aviation, a Kansas City, United States-based flight school known for its commitment to excellence and growth. This collaboration will enhance Kilo Charlie’s resource planning capabilities and underscores Aeroplanned’s dedication to providing advanced solutions for flight schools.
Kilo Charlie Aviation, with its ambitious goals, is focused on optimising its operations from the start of its growth journey. The flight school, which plans to expand its professional pilot training programmes and add 30 new aircraft, aims to become a leader in flight training in the Midwest. Its dedication to excellence aligns closely with Aeroplanned’s mission.
Aeroplanned offers flight schools the ability to operate with maximum coordination and efficiency through its software, which provides a unique forecasting capability of up to three years. This tool facilitates proactive planning, helping schools avoid the chaos of daily reactive management. It also enables accurate monitoring of student progress and ensures timely programme completion.
Chief Pilot Robert Renfro of Kilo Charlie Aviation noted the impact of the partnership: “Partnering with Aeroplanned is a game-changer for us. In an industry where precision and efficiency are crucial, the clear, objective insights provided by Aeroplanned are invaluable. The visibility and data-driven tools they offer are essential for optimising our training programmes and resources effectively. We are confident this partnership will help us not only meet but exceed our goals, setting a new standard for excellence in the Midwest.”
Jen Liddle, CEO of Aeroplanned, commented: “Collaborating with forward-thinking flight schools like Kilo Charlie is a pleasure. Their proactive approach and dedication to advancing pilot training are commendable, and we are eager to support their journey.”
The partnership aims to enhance the standards of pilot training, with both organisations looking forward to a productive collaboration.
Source: Aeroplanned
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Boeing Projects Global Need for Nearly 2.4 Million New Commercial Pilots
- 2024 Pilot and Technician Outlook forecasts Eurasia, China and North America account for more than half of demand for aviation personnel through 2043
- South Asia, Southeast Asia and Africa are fastest-growing regions for staffing
- Boeing competency-based training and assessment programs help enhance aviation safety and ensure high quality training as needs grow
Over the next 20 years, Boeing projects a continued significant demand for aviation personnel as the global commercial airplane fleet continues to expand. The company’s 2024 Pilot and Technician Outlook (PTO) shows the industry will require nearly 2.4 million new professionals to support the growing commercial fleet and meet the long-term increase in air travel.
According to the latest PTO, commercial carriers will need the following new personnel through 2043 to sustain the global commercial fleet:
- 674,000 pilots
- 716,000 maintenance technicians
- 980,000 cabin crew members.
“Driven by aviation traffic trending above pre-pandemic levels, personnel attrition and commercial fleet growth, the demand for aviation personnel continues to rise,” said Chris Broom, vice president, Commercial Training Solutions, Boeing Global Services. “We are focused on being a reliable and innovative partner in the lifecycle of aviation training. Our offerings are rooted in competency-based training and assessment programs to help ensure high quality aviation training starting in flight schools and in commercial operations while helping enhance aviation safety through immersive and virtual training solutions.”
Through 2043, the PTO projects:
- Demand for new personnel driven primarily by single aisle airplanes, except in Africa and Middle East where widebody airplane demand leads.
- Eurasia, China and North America drive demand for more than half of new industry personnel.
- South Asia, Southeast Asia and Africa are the fastest-growing regions for personnel with staffing demand expected to more than triple over 20 years.
- Two-thirds of new personnel will address replacement due to attrition, while one- third supports growth in the commercial fleet.
he PTO forecast includes these projections for industry needs through 2043:
|
Region |
New Pilots |
New Technicians |
New Cabin Crew |
|
Global |
674,000 |
716,000 |
980,000 |
|
Africa |
23,000 |
25,000 |
28,000 |
|
China |
130,000 |
137,000 |
163,000 |
|
Eurasia |
155,000 |
167,000 |
240,000 |
|
Latin America |
39,000 |
42,000 |
54,000 |
|
Middle East |
68,000 |
63,000 |
104,000 |
|
North America |
123,000 |
123,000 |
184,000 |
|
Northeast Asia |
25,000 |
30,000 |
43,000 |
|
Oceania |
11,000 |
12,000 |
18,000 |
|
South Asia |
40,000 |
40,000 |
49,000 |
|
Southeast Asia |
60,000 |
77,000 |
97,000 |
Source: Boeing