Market Intelligence: Indian Subcontinent

New Zealand-based Flight Training Organization AIPA Welcomes June 2025 Intake from India’s ThePilot.in

New Zealand – Auckland International Pilot Academy (AIPA) has officially welcomed its June 2025 intake from Indian pilot training facilitator and ground school provider ThePilot.in, with 11 new students beginning their professional pilot training on June 16.

The cohort is already preparing for their first milestone—the PPL FRTO (Flight Radio Telephony Operator) exam—demonstrating AIPA’s structured and accelerated approach to aviation education.

Applications are now open for the next intake scheduled for October 13, 2025, with limited spots available.

Source: Auckland International Pilot Academy
Photo Credit: Auckland International Pilot Academy

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Aircraft Manufacturer Embraer Forecasts Demand for 10,500 Regional Aircraft by 2044

  • Embraer expects demand for 10,500 sub-150-seat jets and turboprops within the next 20 years for the market in general
  • Value of new orders US$680 billion
  • China will lead annual RPK growth
  • North America will lead jet aircraft deliveries

Global –Embraer has published Market Outlook 2025, its annual 20-year forecast for commercial aircraft deliveries in the sub-150-seat category.

Market Outlook 2025 estimates 10,500 orders for new jets and turboprops through 2044. It also presents analyses of global influences and trends in seven world regions that impact the demand for new aircraft. Because of its growing prominence in commercial aviation, statistics for China are detailed separately in this year’s Market Outlook for the first time.

The document also analyzes demand for cargo aircraft, including a forecast for passenger-to-freighter conversions.

The overall forecast for the number of new sub-150-seat aircraft remains almost unchanged from Embraer’s previous estimate. Arjan Meijer, Embraer President and CEO of Commercial Aviation, attributes the consistency of the estimate to the longevity of social, supply chain, and geopolitical trends Embraer identified during the pandemic.

“Five years after the onset of the pandemic, many of the structural changes it triggered have proven to be quite long lasting. In our first post-pandemic Market Outlook, we highlighted the transition from globalization to a more polarized geopolitical outlook. Today, as countries and regions pursue greater strategic autonomy, the demand for regional access will continue to grow. We believe mixed fleets that combine small and large narrowbody aircraft are essential for that long-term growth. They provide the versatility needed to better match capacity with demand, expand networks, and support national and regional development goals.”

Highlights of the 20-Year Commercial Market Outlook – By the Numbers

World passenger traffic, measured in revenue passenger kilometers (RPK) is forecast to grow 3.9% annually through 2044. China will lead among seven global regions.

Annual RPK regional growth rate – ranked

  • 5.7% China
  • 4.7% Latin America
  • 4.4% Africa
  • 4.4% Middle East
  • 4.1% Asia Pacific
  • 3.1% Europe & CIS
  • 2.4% North America

RPK share by the end of 2044

  • 39% Asia Pacific
  • 37% Europe + North America

Global demand for new aircraft up to 150 seats 10,500 units

  • 8,720 jets
  • 1,780 turboprops

Market value of all new aircraft USD 680 billion

Jet deliveries – 8,720 (% share) – by region

  • 2,680 North America (30.7%)
  • 1,990 Europe & CIS (22.8%)
  • 1,500 China (17.2%)
  • 1,050 Asia Pacific (12.1%)
  • 770 Latin America (8.8%)
  • 380 Africa (4.4%)
  • 350 Middle East (4.0%)

Turboprop deliveries – 1,780 (% share) – by region 640 Asia Pacific (36.0%)

  • 280 North America (15.7%)
  • 260 Europe & CIS (14.6%)
  • 220 Africa (12.4%)
  • 200 China (11.2%)
  • 160 Latin America (9.0%)
  • 20 Middle East (1.1%)

Download the complete Embraer 2025 Market Outlook here.

Source: Embraer

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Boeing CMO 2025 Forecasts 43,600 Aircraft Deliveries Through 2044, Led by Emerging Markets

Global – Boeing has released its 2025 Commercial Market Outlook (CMO), forecasting demand for 43,600 new commercial aircraft over the next 20 years, fueled by passenger traffic growth of 4.2% annually and rapid fleet expansion in emerging markets. The projection was released ahead of the Paris Air Show 2025.

  • The forecast expects the global fleet to nearly double to 49,600 aircraft by 2044, with emerging markets accounting for over 50% of that fleet, up from 40% in 2024.

  • The report highlights a major replacement cycle: nearly half of new deliveries (~21,000 aircraft) will replace aging models, improving fuel efficiency and sustainability.

  • Boeing anticipates aircraft supply to catch up with demand by the end of the decade, giving airlines the capacity to renew and grow fleets more aggressively.

Aircraft demand by category (2025–2044):

  • Single-aisle: 33,285

  • Widebody: 7,815

  • Regional jets: 1,545

  • Freighters: 955

  • Total: 43,600

Key Trends:

  • Single-aisle aircraft will comprise 72% of the global fleet by 2044, up from 66% today, driven by low-cost carriers and short-haul growth in emerging markets.

  • The global widebody fleet will grow to 8,320 aircraft, with long-haul expansion increasingly led by carriers in developing regions.

  • Freighter fleet capacity is expected to grow by nearly two-thirds, requiring 2,900 new and converted freighters, driven by express cargo and supply chain diversification.

  • Airline networks now serve 30% more city pairs than a decade ago, offering more point-to-point connectivity.

Statement’s:

  • “Passenger air traffic has tripled and the global fleet has more than doubled since the start of the century,” said Brad McMullen, SVP of Commercial Sales and Marketing at Boeing. “We see strong demand for new airplanes with commercial aviation returning to its pre-pandemic growth trajectory.”

Find the complete CMO here.

Source: Boeing

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